CBOE Volatility Index

VIX

1H

About the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX)

The CBOE Volatility Index, commonly known as the VIX, is a real-time market index that measures the stock market's expectation of volatility over the next 30 days. Often referred to as the 'fear index,' it is derived from the prices of S&P 500 index options and reflects investor sentiment and uncertainty. Introduced by the Chicago Board Options Exchange in 1993, the VIX has become a key benchmark for gauging market risk and volatility. It is widely used by traders and analysts to assess potential market swings and hedge against volatility, serving as a barometer for broader financial market conditions.

Key Characteristics

The VIX is an index that tracks implied volatility, not a tradable asset itself, though derivatives like VIX futures and options are available. It is calculated by the CBOE using S&P 500 index options and is expressed as an annualized percentage. The VIX typically rises during market stress or downturns and falls in stable or bullish periods. It is often used as a contrarian indicator, with high values suggesting potential market bottoms and low values indicating complacency. Historical data shows the VIX averaging around 20, but it can spike significantly during crises.

Factors Influencing the VIX

The VIX is influenced by macroeconomic events such as interest rate changes, geopolitical tensions, and economic data releases that affect market uncertainty. Market-specific factors like earnings reports, corporate news, and trading volumes in S&P 500 options also drive volatility expectations. Technical analysis of the VIX involves examining trends, support and resistance levels, and its relationship with the S&P 500 index. Historically, the VIX tends to move inversely to stock prices, making it a tool for assessing risk appetite and potential market reversals.

Analysis Methodology

Trading Way analyzes the VIX using AI-powered neural networks, including BiLSTM, CNN, and Attention mechanisms, to process historical volatility data and market indicators. The methodology incorporates price charts, implied volatility trends, and macroeconomic inputs to generate analytical insights. It is important to note that these forecasts are probabilistic and based on historical patterns, with inherent limitations due to market unpredictability. The platform focuses on providing educational analytics rather than definitive predictions.

Analysis on Trading Way

On Trading Way, users can access AI-powered forecasts for the VIX, including calculated analytical levels such as entry points, take-profit, and stop-loss scenarios. The platform offers price charts with historical data, support and resistance levels via pivot points, and analytical signals with notifications. These tools are designed for informational and educational purposes only. Trading Way does not provide investment, brokerage, or advisory services, and all decisions are made independently by users.

AI Analytics

Direction
long
Confidence
73%
Analytical reports this week
3
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