URALS/USD
About Urals Crude Oil Spot (URALS/USD)
Urals Crude Oil Spot (URALS/USD) represents the spot price of Urals crude oil, a key benchmark for Russian oil exports. This medium sour crude blend is primarily sourced from fields in Western Siberia and the Urals region, serving as a major export grade for global markets. Historically, Urals has been a significant component in European and Asian energy supplies, often priced at a discount to Brent due to its higher sulfur content and logistical factors. Its price dynamics reflect global oil demand, geopolitical developments involving Russia, and regional supply disruptions, making it a closely watched indicator in commodity trading circles. Traders monitor URALS/USD for insights into energy market trends and arbitrage opportunities against other benchmarks like Brent and WTI.
Key Characteristics
Urals crude oil is a medium sour blend with an API gravity around 31-32 degrees and sulfur content typically between 1.2-1.4%. It trades in USD per barrel, with pricing influenced by delivery points such as Primorsk and Ust-Luga in the Baltic Sea, as well as Novorossiysk on the Black Sea. As a spot instrument, URALS/USD reflects real-time market transactions rather than futures contracts, providing immediate price discovery. This benchmark is integral to global oil markets, especially in Europe, where it accounts for a substantial portion of refinery feedstock. Key attributes include its role in pricing Russian exports, sensitivity to OPEC+ decisions, and correlation with broader energy sector movements.
Factors Influencing Price
The price of URALS/USD is shaped by multiple factors. Macroeconomic elements like global oil demand, inventory levels, and USD strength play a central role, as oil is dollar-denominated. Geopolitical events, including sanctions, trade policies, and regional conflicts involving Russia, can cause significant volatility. Industry-specific drivers such as OPEC+ production quotas, pipeline outages, and seasonal demand fluctuations in heating and transportation also impact prices. Technically, traders analyze support/resistance levels, moving averages, and volume trends to assess market sentiment. Environmental regulations and shifts toward renewable energy may introduce long-term pressures, while short-term spikes often relate to supply disruptions or speculative trading activity.
Analysis Methodology
Trading Way analyzes URALS/USD using AI models that process historical price data, volume metrics, and relevant market indicators. The platform employs neural networks (BiLSTM + CNN + Attention) to identify patterns and generate forecasts, supplemented by technical tools like pivot points for support and resistance. Data sources include real-time spot prices, geopolitical news feeds, and economic reports affecting oil markets. It's important to note that these forecasts are probabilistic and based on historical trends; they do not account for unforeseen events or guarantee future outcomes. The methodology aims to provide educational insights by highlighting potential price directions and key levels for monitoring.
Analysis on Trading Way
On Trading Way, users can access AI-powered forecasts for URALS/USD, including calculated levels for entry points, take-profit, and stop-loss based on analytical models. The platform offers interactive price charts with historical data, pivot points for support and resistance, and analytical signals with notification features. These tools are designed for informational and educational purposes, helping traders understand market dynamics without providing investment advice. Trading Way does not offer brokerage, advisory, or investment services; all analytics are intended to support independent decision-making by highlighting data-driven insights and potential scenarios in commodity markets.
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